3. Producción
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Item type:Publication, La macroeconomía de una economía abierta en el corto plazo : el modelo Mundell-Fleming(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2003)In this paper we present the Mundell – Fleming model for a regime of fixed and flexible exchange rate, in a context of perfect capital mobility. In the first part we present the model for the case of a fixed exchange – regime, in which the basic equations will be introduced describing the market for goods, the monetary market, the domestic market of bonds and the external bond market; as well as the interaction mechanisms between this markets. There will be carried out three simulation exercises, in which the effects will be seen on the production, the international reserves and the domestic interest rate of an expanding fiscal police, a devaluation and an increment of the external interest rate. In the second part we will develop the model for the case of a flexible exchange – regime, and the effects of fiscal and monetary policy, and of an increment of the external interest rate on production, domestic interest rates and the exchange rate will be examined. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Dinero e inflación: el overshooting y el canal del tipo de cambio(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2005)In this paper we extend the Dornbusch’s model (1976), the overshooting of the exchange rate, in two directions. First, as it was modeled by Wilson (1979), we assume that agents have rational expectations, i.e. perfect foresight in a deterministic model. In this framework, we analyze the effects of unanticipated and anticipated economic policies. Second, this model tries to reproduce the stylized fact that, in an opened economy under a regime of flexible exchange rate, the impact of an expansionary monetary policy over prices can be immediate, through the effect in the exchange rate. With this goal, the Dornbusch’s original model has been extended to take into account the depreciation rate of the exchange rate, as an argument of the Phillip’s Curve. In this extension we assume, as in the basic model, that there is no adjustment in prices due to the excess of demand in the good market, in the short run; while the adjustment that is generated by the movement of the exchange rate is instantaneous. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, El modelo Mundel-Fleming: una versión intertemporal(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas, Económicas, Políticas y Antropológicas - CISEPA, 2000)This paper presents an intertemporal version of the Mundell-Fleming model, with free capital movements and floating exchange rate. The model includes two subsystems, one for each period, that allows exchange rate, production, and interest rate expectations to be determined, under perfect foresight, without losing the simplicity and transparency of the comparative static. The connection between the first period and the second period is given according to the expectation that the public makes in the first period about some variables of the second period. These ones, at the same time, are the variables that are determined on the second period. The model allows the identification of the effects of an expected monetary policy in the future (period 2) on the production, exchange rate, and the interest rate in the present (period 1). These results differ from Sargent and Wallace´s proposition (1975), where expected monetary policy has no effects on the economy activity; but these results are like Fischer´s model (1977), where monetary policy, even if it is expected, does have effects on the real variables such as production.