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Item type:Publication, Revisión sistemática de literatura teórica sobre métodos de evaluación de impacto para evaluar políticas públicas(Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México, 2021-07-19)Los programas y las políticas públicas se diseñan e implementan con el objetivo de cambiar algún comportamiento o aspecto de la vida de una persona, como su educación, sus ingresos, su alimentación, etc. Esta implementación se basa en la teoría del cambio para lograr sus objetivos. Sin embargo, determinar si estos programas o políticas públicas logran los impactos o resultados esperados es una labor que a menudo no es abordada por los implementadores de las políticas públicas. La evaluación de impacto de las políticas públicas es una acción fundamental dentro de la gestión pública, pues permite obtener información sobre los impactos que tienen dichas políticas o programas en la población beneficiaria y así poder estudiar la posibilidad de ampliar el alcance, modificar, sugerir cambios o detener la ejecución. En esta revisión sistemática se evaluaron 22 estudios sobre evaluación de impacto. La temporalidad de los estudios evaluados va desde el año 1983 hasta el año 2017. Uno de los principales hallazgos está referido a la importancia de estimar un contrafactual creíble que permita identificar de manera adecuada el impacto de la aplicación de una determinada política pública. Otro de los aspectos a resaltar es que la metodología para evaluar una determinada política pública depende de los datos con los que se cuenta y de las características de la intervención. Finalmente, los modelos econométricos utilizados para estimar los impactos no son, en ningún caso, modelos rígidos. Mucho dependerá de la habilidad y la creatividad del investigador para plantear una propuesta metodológica que cumpla con el objetivo planificado. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Pensión 65 y acceso a los servicios de salud del adulto mayor: Perú 2019(2023-01-01)The present research work had as to analyze if the National Solidarity Assistance program: pension 65 allows to increase the probability of access of the elderly to health services; Taking into account the challenges of all the countries of the world and especially Peru, it is of vital importance to know if the country aims to comply with generating a state of total well-being for the elderly. We worked with a sample of 10,983 older adults who during 2019 reported discomfort, illness, relapse or accident, using the 2019 National Household Survey [ENAHO] and its respective modules as a source of information. The research was of a quantitative type of non-experimental cross-correlational-causal design, the logistic method was applied and =β_0+β_1×BeneficiaryP65+β_2×Rural+β_3×Woman+β_4×Age+β_5×Education+β_6×Employed+β_7× PoorNonExtreme+β_8×PoorExtreme, and the variables were: y= dummy variable that takes 1 when the older adult does not have access to health services due to not having sufficient economic resources, BeneficiaryP65, older adult according to area of residence, sex of the older adult, age , schooling, employment status and poverty status. When carrying out the respective analysis, an odds ratio of the constant 0.36422608 was obtained, predicting a low probability that older adults do not access health services due to lack of economic resources. The estimated odds ratios of the P65 Beneficiary, Age, and Education variables are less than one and significant, indicating the association of these variables with a greater probability of access to health services. The PoorExtreme and PoorNonExtreme coefficients are greater than one and significant, highlighting the relationship between poverty and less probability of access to health services, the odds ratio of the female variable is less than one and not significant, as is the employment status. . The estimated odds ratio of the Female variable is less than one and not significant, which suggests that there is not enough evidence to say that the female gender is associated with a lower or higher probability of access to health services. The estimated odds ratio of the Employed variable is greater than one, but not significant, which suggests that the fact of being employed is not related to the probability of access to health services. the estimated odds ratios of the P65 Beneficiary, Education, Extreme Poor and Non-Extreme Poor have a p-value less than 0.05, indicating that they are significant, an R^2 of 0.0281 was obtained.
