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Item type:Publication, Bibliometric review of research on decision models in uncertainty, 1990-2020(John Wiley and Sons Ltd, 2022-10-01)Societies experience intense and frequent changes in diverse environments, which increase uncertainty and complexity in decision-making. The decision-maker looks for alternatives to reduce risks and face these new challenges. In this context, science plays a vital role in proposing new solutions. The article aims to: (i) to carry out a bibliometric review of decision models in uncertainty through scientific mapping and performance analysis between 1990 and 2020; (ii) to know the scientific progress of 17 models that specialists validated. The Web of Science database and the VOSviewer, R, and Python software analyzed 26,835 articles in nine bibliometric indicators. The results revealed a positive trend of the publications in the analyzed models, being the Analytic Hierarchical Process the most used. Other findings showed China as the country with more scientific collaborations. There is enormous potential for future lines of research on the subject. - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Socio-economic and health management of pandemics based on forgotten effects theory(Taylor & Francis, 2022-04-04)Intense and frequent changes increase uncertainty and complexity in decision-making. The COVID-19 pandemic exacerbates this situation. Therefore, the decision-maker seeks to reduce risks and meet these challenges. The manuscript aims to identify cause-effect relationships between variables affecting countries and changes caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and propose an algorithm to facilitate decision-making by identifying forgotten effects. The authors use thematic analysis to synthesize the semi-systematic literature review findings. The applied research uses a quantitative approach through modeling and simulation. The results highlight that the pandemic effects are associated with causes such as health care, political and economic stability, social justice, and the level of corruption. Decision-makers must prioritize the management of these variables guided by science. The main contribution is to show an algorithm that identifies forgotten effects in pandemics' socio-economic and health management, preventing future crises. In addition, the study advances the frontier of knowledge by addressing identified gaps and contributes to academia and policy makers. The most critical limitation is the number of variables included in this research. Future investigations could include analyses on the impact of climate change and sustainable development of nations and country-specific studies on the forgotten effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.