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    Relación entre consumo e ingreso de las familias del distrito de Huánuco, departamento de Huánuco, Perú
    (2022-07-25)
    Objective. To determine the association between consumption and household income in the district of Huánuco, department of Huánuco, Peru, during 2019. Methods. The research is applied, descriptive-correlational and has a non-experimental design. A structured survey questionnaire was used for data collection and was applied to a sample of 240 families. Based on this, a multivariate linear regression model was estimated, which is theoretically based on the Keynesian consumption function. Results. They are divided into two: (i) based on the descriptive-correlational statistical analysis it was found that for the year 2019 the levels of income and consumption expenditure were relatively low and high, respectively; and that these variables present a positive statistical association of 0.672; (iii) the estimation of the econometric model showed evidence of a positive effect of income on consumption expenditure, and a value of the marginal propensity to consume lower than unity (0.71). Conclusions. The relationship between consumption expenditure and household income in the district of Huánuco is positive, and the value of the estimated marginal propensity to consume indicates that about 67% of income is devoted to consumption and the rest to savings.
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    Impacto de los niveles de educación sobre el empleo en la región Huánuco, Perú, período 2000-2019
    (2022-07-28)
    Objective. To estimate the impact of education levels on the employment status of the economically active population (EAP) of the Huánuco region, Peru, period 2000-2019. Methods. The research was applied, explanatory and had a non-experimental design. The human capital theory was adopted as a theoretical framework and a logistic regression model (logit) was estimated using secondary data from the National Household Survey (ENAHO) on the condition of being employed or not (endogenous variable) and the levels of education (exogenous variable) of the EAP. Results. It was found that the probability of being employed of individuals in the EAP who have only primary, secondary and higher education increased by 3.2, 8.0 and 9.2 percentage points, respectively. Conclusions. Individuals in the EAP with only primary education have the lowest probability of being employed, and those with secondary education have a moderate probability. Meanwhile, individuals with higher education have the highest probability of being employed.
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    La certificación ISO 9001 y el sistema de gestión de calidad de la EPS SEDA-Huánuco
    (Universidad Ricardo Palma, 2022-07-30)
    Objetivo. Analizar la influencia de la implementación de la Norma ISO 9001:2015 en el sistema de gestión de calidad de la empresa prestadora de servicios de saneamiento de la región Huánuco (EPS SEDA-Huánuco) para el año 2018. Métodos. Debido a su finalidad, la investigación se caracteriza por ser de tipo básica. Tuvo un nivel descriptivo–correlacional y adoptó un diseño no experimental. Los datos se obtuvieron de dos formas: (i) aplicación de un cuestionario de encuestas dirigida al personal operativo, administrativo y a la alta dirección de la EPS; (ii) la base de datos sobre satisfacción de los usuarios que aplica la misma EPS. En base a ello, se estimaron las correlaciones entre las variables. Resultados. Se halló evidencia que indica que la implementación de la Norma ISO 9001 tiene una relación positiva con la satisfacción de los usuarios (rho=0,81), aseguramiento de la calidad del servicio (rho=0,78) y la mejora global de la EPS (rho=0,82) durante el año 2018. Conclusiones. Se establece que la implementación de la certificación ISO 9001 influye de forma positiva sobre la satisfacción de los usuarios, el aseguramiento de la calidad del servicio y la mejora global de la EPS SEDA-Huánuco.
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    La gestión pública por resultados y los procesos de contrataciones públicas: un estudio de caso
    (2022-10-30)
    Objetivo. Determinar la relación entre la gestión por resultados y los procesos de contrataciones públicas llevados a cabo por los profesionales del Programa de Desarrollo Productivo Agrario Rural (AGRORURAL) de la dirección zonal Huánuco, 2019. Métodos. La investigación se caracteriza por ser de tipo básico, con un nivel de descriptivo–correlacional y un diseño no experimental. Se emplea la Teoría de la Gestión Pública enfocada al presupuesto por resultados y a las contrataciones estatales. Para la recolección de datos se aplicó un cuestionario de encuesta a los profesionales y funcionarios de AGRORURAL-Huánuco; en base a ello, se estimaron coeficientes de correlación de Spearman. Resultados. Se encuentra evidencia de una relación positiva entre la gestión por resultados y los procesos de contrataciones . Asimismo, se encuentra una relación positiva entre la gestión por resultados sobre la fase de programación , la fase de selección y la fase de ejecución contractual de los procesos de contrataciones. Conclusiones. Se puede afirmar que los trabajadores de AGRORURAL tienen un adecuado conocimiento de la gestión por resultados, lo que se traduce en procesos de contrataciones eficientes en línea con sus metas propuestas.
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    El Programa Articulado Nutricional y la desnutrición infantil en la región Huánuco, Perú
    (2024-07-16)
    To determine the relationship between the Articulated Nutritional Program (PAN, by its Spanish acronym) and chronic malnutrition in children under 5 years old in the Panao Health Micro Network, Pachitea Province, Huánuco Region (Peru), for the period 2018-2021. Methods: A correlational study with a non-experimental design was conducted. Secondary data from DIRESA-Huánuco and the Friendly Consultation web portal of the Ministry of Economy and Finance were used to estimate Pearson's correlation coefficient. Results: A negative relationship was found between PAN and chronic child malnutrition in the Panao district, with a Pearson correlation coeffcient value of -0.74. Additionally, a negative relationship was found between chronic child malnutrition and the dimensions of PAN: management of PAN goods and services (-0.47), budget allocation (-0.66), and PAN budget execution (-0.70). Conclusions: There is a relationship between PAN and chronic malnutrition in children under 5 years old in the Panao Health Micro Network for the period 2018-2021.
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    Evolution of the exchange rate pass-through into prices in Peru: An empirical application using TVP-VAR-SV models
    (Elsevier Ltd, 2024-04-01)
    This study examines the evolution of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into import, producer, and consumer prices in Peru from 1995Q2 to 2022Q4 using time-varying parameter and stochastic volatility VAR models. Findings reveal a resurgence of ERPTs into import and producer prices since 2009, particularly during the period of a strong US dollar following the 2013 taper tantrum and from 2020 to 2022. Increased uncertainty surrounding the exchange rate and future macroeconomic policies, triggered by the political uncertainty following the 2021 general elections, may have contributed to this trend. Short-term ERPT exceeds long-term ERPT, which might reflect prevalent price dollarization in Peru's import and producer prices. Consumer ERPT remained stable at around 10% until 2009, then increased to 15%, indicating lower levels of price dollarization. This paper sheds light on ERPT dynamics in Peru, carrying implications for policymakers in emerging economies.
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    Time-Varying Effects of Climate Change Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Peru
    (Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2026-08)
    This paper uses the time-varying parameter vector autoregression model with stochastic volatility (TVP-VAR-SV) of Chan and Eisenstat (2018) to quantify the effects of two climate change (CC) shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru, assess their relative importance, and trace their evolution over time. The two shocks are the El Ni˜no phenomenon (ENP) and deviations of average temperature from its historical mean. Bayesian model selection criteria indicate that the best-fitting models allow only some parameters to vary over time, while the inclusion of the stochastic volatility (SV) component is essential for model performance. The results yield three main findings. First, both CC shocks operate as negative supply shocks: they reduce gross domestic product (GDP), increase inflation, and raise the interest rate. They also explain GDP and inflation dynamics better than interest-rate dynamics. GDP falls by 0.8 (0.05-0.20) pp in response to the ENP (average temperature deviation) shock, while inflation rises by 0.25 pp in response to both shocks. By sector, primary GDP falls by 1.5 pp in response to ENP shock, with a 5.0 (0.8–1.0) pp drop in fishing (agriculture) GDPs. In response to temperature deviations shock, primary GDP falls by 1.2–1.4 pp, fishing (agriculture) GDP by 2.0 (1.2–1.5) pp. Second, the effects of both shocks are time-varying and more damaging for the primary sector. ENP has larger and more significant effects on GDP in 1998Q2 and 2017Q2, and on inflation in 2017Q2. Average temperature deviations have larger and more significant effects on GDP in 1994Q3 and 2005Q1, and on inflation in 1994Q3 and 2019Q1. Third, the ENP shock is more important and statistically significant than the average temperature deviation shock in explaining macroeconomic performance. ENP also helps explain the sharp GDP contractions and inflation increases observed in 1998 and 2017.
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    Impacto de la educación básica regular en la pobreza monetaria en la región Huánuco, Perú
    (2023-08-07)
    Objective. To determine the impact of having Regular Basic Education (EBR) studies on the condition of being poor in the population of the Huánuco region (Peru), for the period 2010-2020. Methods. The research was applied, adopted an explanatory level and a non-experimental design. Human capital theory and data from the National Household Survey were used as a theoretical basis for the estimation of a probit model. Results. It was found that people with secondary education are less likely to be poor. In particular, it was found that the probability of being monetarily poor of a person with initial, primary and secondary education decreases by 0.11 pp, 2.19 pp and 3.60 pp, respectively. Conclusions. It is concluded that having a higher level of RBS education leads to a greater decrease in the probability of being poor from the monetary approach to poverty.
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    Factores determinantes de la demanda turística en la provincia de Huánuco, región Huánuco, Perú
    (2023-01-06)
    Objective. Establish the factors that determine the demand for tourism resources in the province of Huánuco, Huánuco region, Peru for the year 2019. Methods. The research was of an applied type, adopting a descriptive-correlational level and a non-experimental design. A structured survey questionnaire was used to collect data from a sample of 360 households in the province of Huánuco. The units of analysis were individuals between 18 and 64 years of age who reside in the houses. Likewise, statistical associations (Spearman's rho) were estimated to determine the relationship between the variables under study. Results. They are divided into two parts: (i) through descriptive statistical analysis, it was found that the factors that determine the demand for tourism resources are: economic factors, people's tastes and preferences, and the promotion of said tourism resources; (ii) based on the inferential statistical analysis, it was found that these determining factors and tourist demand present a positive statistical association of 0.68. Conclusions. The findings indicate that if the level of income allocated to tourist activities, the tastes and preferences for visiting tourist resources, and the promotion of tourist resources in the province of Huánuco increase, the tourist demand in that area will also increase.
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    Factores determinantes de la deserción escolar en la región Huánuco, Perú
    (2023-08-03)
    Objective. Determine the factors that explain school dropout in the Huánuco region, Peru, for the period 2010 - 2020. Methods. The research was of an applied type, it adopted an explanatory level and a non-experimental design. Two perspectives on school dropout (individual and institutional perspective) and data from the National Household Survey were used as a theoretical basis for the estimation of a logistic regression model. Results. It was found that the probability of school dropout increases: (i) regarding socioeconomic factors, if the student belongs to a household with a low socioeconomic level (2.985 pp.), lives in a single-parent family (0.234 pp.), has dropout parent’s basic education (4,013 pp.); (ii) regarding personal factors, if the student is older (0.801 pp.), or is male (0.856 pp.), or has the need to work (1.986 pp.). Conclusions. It is established that the socioeconomic factors of school dropout are: the socioeconomic level of the home, a history of dropout parents and the parental structure of the home. Meanwhile, the personal factors related to school dropout are age, sex and the need to work of the student.